Epidemic enhancement in partially immune populations.
Publication Year
2007
Type
Journal Article
Abstract
We observe that a pathogen introduced into a population containing individuals with acquired immunity can result in an epidemic longer in duration and/or larger in size than if the pathogen were introduced into a naive population. We call this phenomenon "epidemic enhancement," and use simple dynamical models to show that it is a realistic scenario within the parameter ranges of many common infectious diseases. This finding implies that repeated pathogen introduction or intermediate levels of vaccine coverage can lead to pathogen persistence in populations where extinction would otherwise be expected.
Journal
PloS one
Volume
2
Issue
1
Pages
e165
Date Published
01/2007
ISSN Number
1932-6203
Alternate Journal
PLoS One
PMCID
PMC1769520
PMID
17225866